“Tinubu should learn some lessons from NPP’s fall in Ghana. It is widely believed that corruption, harsh economic policies and arrogance towards the plight of the people are the key reasons that led to the ruling party’s loss.
But this is more than a reflection of what is happening in Nigeria today. Even without the economic hardship Nigerians are facing, Tinubu is walking into 2027 on an electoral tightrope.
The election that brought Tinubu in 2023 bore some similarities with 1979 presidential election in which Shagari won with a minority vote (33.77 percent). Tinubu too won election with a minority vote, polling only 36.61% of the total votes cast, leaving the two leading opponents to share significant chunks.
“You cannot subject people to hunger and hardship if you bank on their support on election day. It’s clear Tinubu is relying on repressive state apparatus and a rogue electoral umpire more than the electorate“.
The problem with using this formula is that it does not stand a gale of change. When it blows, INEC and security agents will turn against the ruling party as they’re not exempt from subsidy removal, inflation, tax increase, electricity stratification, etc.
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